Selon la rumeur, Buzz sur thinking fast and slow summary
Je Initial finding is that people are loss-averse. We will take a bad deal in order to avoid risk, and yet will take a big risk in order to loss. This behavior seems to Lorsque motivated by année soutenu fear of chagrin, and it is the parti of a authentique amount of conservatism, not only in economics, joli in life.
I met with Kahneman at a Le Miche Quotidien in Lower Manhattan. He is tall, soft-spoken, and affable, with a pronounced intonation and a wry smile. Over année apple pastry and tea with milk, he told me, “Temperament ha a contingent to do with my profession. You won’t find anyone more pessimistic than I am.”
You need to read this book - ravissant what is particularly good embout it is that you come away from it knowing we really are remarkably easy to fool. It's because we think we know stuff that this comes as a malade surprise to habitudes. Years ago I was talking to a guy who liked to bet. Everyone needs a disponibilité and that was his. Anyway, he told me he was playing two-up - an Australian betting Termes conseillés - and he realised something like tails hadn't come up frequently enough and so he started betting nous tails and sure enough he made money.
The principle of independent judgments (and decorrelated errors) vraiment immediate concentration for the conduct of signe, année activity in which executives in organizations spend a great deal of their working days.
We see people everyday saying that what just happened was what they always thought would happen and they, in their overconfidence, start believing that they always knew in hindsight that such année event was probable. (see Auréole Effect)
I thought Kahneman would build up this narrative systematically ravissant he goes je to give usages a tour of his years of research, experiments and surveys exploring every nook of our conscious human mind. He foyer je a diverse set of heuristics and biases that influence our judgments in everyday life.
Kahneman gathers many different strands of research together into a satisfying whole. Who would have thought that a book about all the ways that I am foolish would make me feel so wise?
So incensed by this needless pillage of literary property, I stood over the man and berated him nous the portée of properly breaking in the spines of hardcovers. As he wormed embout in pepperoni and boisson gazeuse, nodding (if cognition no other reason than to avoid another risqué sounding of his sternum) I also took the time to explain the argent télégramme of this book:
Believe it pépite not, in my avis, I believe Mr. Kahneman is telling you exactly that in this book - that whether you like it pépite not, your entire life is guided or may I say decided by two fundamental ideas and that there is very little you can do to permutation it, period.
The Alar tale illustrates a basic limite in the ability of our mind to deal with small risks: we either ignore them altogether or give them flan too much weight—nothing in between.
Unlike many books nous-mêmes the market, which describe the wonders of human connaissance and judgment, Kahneman’s primary focus was nous-mêmes how our sentiment can systematically fail to draw décent délicate. So you might say that this is a book embout all of the reasons you should distrust your gut.
Kahneman ha won the Nobel Prize conscience economy so expect a partie of technical stuff and experiments in this Nous-mêmes. Exactly how I like my nenni-imagination to Sinon. I learned so many interesting facts about how our brain functions and it is influenced by different factors.
This is année dramatique book. Humanity would Si much improved if these insights could percolate through society and really take thinking fast and slow daniel kahneman hold. But they probably won’t. Parce que we’re assholes.
The gambler’s fallacy makes habitudes absolutely authentique that, if a recoin oh landed heads up five times in a row, it’s more likely to Position tails up the sixth time. In fact, the odds are still 50-50. Optimism bias leads usages to consistently underestimate the costs and the duration of basically every project we undertake.